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Football · Past matches · Historical odds

Biggest recorded odds moves

The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.

First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.

Champions League · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to

Biggest recorded odds increases

The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.

  1. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    AEK Athens v Real Madrid

    AEK Athens to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    7.50 to 12.00
    Change
    +60.0%
    Implied probability
    −5.00 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Bodø/Glimt v Lille

    Lille to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.25 to 5.00
    Change
    +53.8%
    Implied probability
    −10.77 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    LASK v ŠK Slovan Bratislava

    ŠK Slovan Bratislava to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    5.60 to 8.00
    Change
    +42.9%
    Implied probability
    −5.36 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Porto v PSV Eindhoven

    PSV Eindhoven to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.25 to 6.00
    Change
    +41.2%
    Implied probability
    −6.86 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Fenerbahce v Slavia Praha

    Slavia Praha to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.75 to 6.50
    Change
    +36.8%
    Implied probability
    −5.67 pts
    Agreement
    17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    RC Lens v Como

    RC Lens to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.70 to 3.625
    Change
    +34.3%
    Implied probability
    −9.45 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Club Brugge v RC Lens

    RC Lens to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.15 to 4.10
    Change
    +30.2%
    Implied probability
    −7.36 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Fenerbahce v Liverpool

    Fenerbahce to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.00 to 5.10
    Change
    +27.5%
    Implied probability
    −5.39 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Borussia Dortmund v Real Betis

    Real Betis to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.20 to 5.00
    Change
    +19.0%
    Implied probability
    −3.81 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge

    Club Brugge to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.90 to 3.45
    Change
    +19.0%
    Implied probability
    −5.50 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

Biggest recorded odds decreases

The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.

  1. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Manchester City v AEK Athens

    AEK Athens to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    29.00 to 13.00
    Change
    −55.2%
    Implied probability
    +4.24 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Real Betis v Feyenoord

    Feyenoord to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    5.50 to 4.00
    Change
    −27.3%
    Implied probability
    +6.82 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Bodø/Glimt v Lille

    Bodø/Glimt to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.00 to 1.53
    Change
    −23.5%
    Implied probability
    +15.36 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    RC Lens v Como

    Como to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.415 to 1.86
    Change
    −23.0%
    Implied probability
    +12.36 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Club Brugge v RC Lens

    Club Brugge to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.05 to 1.70
    Change
    −17.1%
    Implied probability
    +10.04 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Sporting Lisbon v LASK

    LASK to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    9.00 to 7.50
    Change
    −16.7%
    Implied probability
    +2.22 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Fenerbahce v Liverpool

    Liverpool to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    1.81 to 1.525
    Change
    −15.7%
    Implied probability
    +10.33 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Barcelona v Aston Villa

    Aston Villa to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    9.00 to 7.75
    Change
    −13.9%
    Implied probability
    +1.79 pts
    Agreement
    14 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Inter Milan v Shakhtar Donetsk

    Shakhtar Donetsk to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    11.00 to 9.50
    Change
    −13.6%
    Implied probability
    +1.44 pts
    Agreement
    11 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. Champions League · Scheduled kick-off

    Fenerbahce v Slavia Praha

    Fenerbahce to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    1.62 to 1.40
    Change
    −13.6%
    Implied probability
    +9.70 pts
    Agreement
    17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

How recorded moves are measured

What is compared

For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.

Median

For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

What qualifies

  • at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
  • at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
  • the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
  • Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.

Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.