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Football · Match odds

Market Movers — Last 24 Hours

Upcoming UK football matches with the largest consensus price changes over about the last 24 hours, measured by the market median of UK sportsbook prices.

Last calculated UK time

Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

Each match compares its latest odds snapshot with the prices recorded nearest to 24 hours before it (within 30 minutes either side).

Past matches: the biggest recorded odds moves.

Shortening odds

The market median price fell: the outcome is now priced as more likely.

  1. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Croatia v Czech Republic

    Czech Republic win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    6.50 to 5.75
    Change
    −11.54%
    Implied probability
    +2.01 pts
    Agreement
    7 of 10 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  2. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    France v Turkey

    Turkey win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    12.00 to 10.00
    Change
    −16.67%
    Implied probability
    +1.67 pts
    Agreement
    8 of 8 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  3. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Spain v England

    England win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    4.50 to 4.25
    Change
    −5.56%
    Implied probability
    +1.31 pts
    Agreement
    10 of 11 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  4. Conference League · Kick-off

    FC Iberia 1999 v Getafe

    Draw

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    4.75 to 4.50
    Change
    −5.26%
    Implied probability
    +1.17 pts
    Agreement
    4 of 6 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  5. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Belgium v Italy

    Belgium win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    2.15 to 2.10
    Change
    −2.33%
    Implied probability
    +1.11 pts
    Agreement
    6 of 9 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  6. Premier League · Kick-off

    Manchester City v Fulham

    Manchester City win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    1.40 to 1.38
    Change
    −1.43%
    Implied probability
    +1.04 pts
    Agreement
    11 of 13 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  7. Conference League · Kick-off

    FC Kairat v Mjällby AIF

    Draw

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    3.40 to 3.30
    Change
    −2.94%
    Implied probability
    +0.89 pts
    Agreement
    3 of 6 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  8. League 1 · Kick-off

    Wigan Athletic v Barnsley

    Barnsley win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    2.75 to 2.70
    Change
    −1.82%
    Implied probability
    +0.67 pts
    Agreement
    10 of 13 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  9. League 1 · Kick-off

    Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle

    Plymouth Argyle win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    2.80 to 2.75
    Change
    −1.79%
    Implied probability
    +0.65 pts
    Agreement
    9 of 13 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

Lengthening odds

The market median price rose: the outcome is now priced as less likely.

  1. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    France v Turkey

    France win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    1.18 to 1.22
    Change
    +3.39%
    Implied probability
    −2.78 pts
    Agreement
    8 of 8 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  2. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Croatia v Czech Republic

    Croatia win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    1.44 to 1.49
    Change
    +3.47%
    Implied probability
    −2.33 pts
    Agreement
    7 of 10 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  3. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Spain v England

    Spain win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    1.64 to 1.70
    Change
    +3.66%
    Implied probability
    −2.15 pts
    Agreement
    9 of 11 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  4. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Belgium v Italy

    Draw

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    3.55 to 3.70
    Change
    +4.23%
    Implied probability
    −1.14 pts
    Agreement
    8 of 9 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  5. Conference League · Kick-off

    FC Kairat v Mjällby AIF

    Mjällby AIF win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    2.77 to 2.85
    Change
    +2.98%
    Implied probability
    −1.05 pts
    Agreement
    3 of 6 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  6. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Northern Ireland v Ukraine

    Northern Ireland win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    2.39 to 2.45
    Change
    +2.51%
    Implied probability
    −1.02 pts
    Agreement
    5 of 10 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  7. League 1 · Kick-off

    Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle

    Sheffield Wednesday win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    2.20 to 2.25
    Change
    +2.27%
    Implied probability
    −1.01 pts
    Agreement
    11 of 13 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  8. UEFA Nations League · Kick-off

    Austria v Republic of Ireland

    Draw

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    3.85 to 4.00
    Change
    +3.90%
    Implied probability
    −0.97 pts
    Agreement
    4 of 7 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  9. League 1 · Kick-off

    Wigan Athletic v Barnsley

    Wigan Athletic win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    2.25 to 2.30
    Change
    +2.22%
    Implied probability
    −0.97 pts
    Agreement
    9 of 13 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

  10. Conference League · Kick-off

    FC Iberia 1999 v Getafe

    Getafe win

    Market median, 24h ago to now
    1.33 to 1.35
    Change
    +1.13%
    Implied probability
    −0.84 pts
    Agreement
    4 of 6 source groups moved in this direction

    24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot

How Market Movers works

What is compared

For each upcoming match, current prices are compared with prices recorded about 24 hours earlier. Current prices come from the latest odds snapshot for the match’s competition. The earlier prices come from the price capture nearest to exactly 24 hours before that snapshot, within 30 minutes either side. If no capture falls in that window, or the recorded history doesn’t yet reach past it, the match isn’t assessed.

Source groups

Some bookmakers often show identical prices, which suggests a shared pricing source. So that one source isn’t counted twice, bookmakers whose prices have largely matched are treated as one group. These groupings are based on the prices observed, not on confirmed business relationships.

  • Betano and BetVictor
  • Betfair Sportsbook and Paddy Power
  • Coral and Ladbrokes
  • LiveScore Bet and Virgin Bet
  • 888sport and William Hill

Each other bookmaker is a group of its own: Betfred, Betway, BoyleSports, Casumo, Grosvenor, LeoVegas, Sky Bet, Unibet. Exchanges are not included.

Market median

For each outcome, a group’s price is the median of its bookmakers that priced the outcome both 24 hours ago and now. The market median is the median of the group prices (with an even number of groups, the average of the middle two). Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

What qualifies

Not every movement is listed. A movement appears only when:

  • at least 6 source groups priced the outcome at both times;
  • at least 3 source groups, and at least half of them, moved in the same direction as the market median;
  • the implied probability changed by at least 0.5 percentage points.

Implied probability is 100 divided by the decimal price. It is shown without any adjustment for bookmakers’ margins. Movements are ranked by the size of that change.

What this page is not

Market Movers reports how prices have changed. It is not a list of the best available odds, and it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.