Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
All competitions · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Aldershot Town FC v Tadley Calleva FC
Tadley Calleva FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.00 to 14.00
- Change
- +100.0%
- Implied probability
- −7.14 pts
- Agreement
- 11 of 11 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Torreense v Sunderland
Torreense to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.25 to 10.00
- Change
- +90.5%
- Implied probability
- −9.05 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
FK Jablonec v Brighton and Hove Albion
FK Jablonec to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.25 to 13.00
- Change
- +79.3%
- Implied probability
- −6.10 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Brighton and Hove Albion v FK Kauno Žalgiris
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 12.00 to 20.00
- Change
- +66.7%
- Implied probability
- −3.33 pts
- Agreement
- 11 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Rennes v OFI Crete
OFI Crete to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 8.25 to 13.50
- Change
- +63.6%
- Implied probability
- −4.71 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Sunderland v Brentford
Sunderland to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.00 to 4.80
- Change
- +60.0%
- Implied probability
- −12.50 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
AEK Athens v Real Madrid
AEK Athens to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.50 to 12.00
- Change
- +60.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.00 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Sint Truiden v FC Iberia 1999
FC Iberia 1999 to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.50 to 12.00
- Change
- +60.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.00 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
FC Twente Enschede v Pafos FC
Pafos FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.00 to 9.50
- Change
- +58.3%
- Implied probability
- −6.14 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
TSG Hoffenheim v Lyon
Lyon to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.80 to 4.33
- Change
- +54.6%
- Implied probability
- −12.62 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Manchester City v AEK Athens
AEK Athens to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 29.00 to 13.00
- Change
- −55.2%
- Implied probability
- +4.24 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Pafos FC v Riga FC
Riga FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.45 to 3.75
- Change
- −31.2%
- Implied probability
- +8.32 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 8.50 to 5.90
- Change
- −30.6%
- Implied probability
- +5.18 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Mjällby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes
Inter Club d'Escaldes to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 10.00 to 7.00
- Change
- −30.0%
- Implied probability
- +4.29 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Czech Republic v Spain
Czech Republic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 17.00 to 12.00
- Change
- −29.4%
- Implied probability
- +2.45 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
TSG Hoffenheim v Lyon
TSG Hoffenheim to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.35 to 1.67
- Change
- −28.9%
- Implied probability
- +17.33 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Luxembourg v Estonia
Estonia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.20 to 3.00
- Change
- −28.6%
- Implied probability
- +9.52 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Sunderland v Brentford
Brentford to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.23 to 1.60
- Change
- −28.3%
- Implied probability
- +17.66 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Hajduk Split v Ajax
Hajduk Split to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.55 to 4.00
- Change
- −27.9%
- Implied probability
- +6.98 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Guiseley AFC v Sutton United FC
Guiseley AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.00 to 2.90
- Change
- −27.5%
- Implied probability
- +9.48 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.