Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
Conference League · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
-
FK Jablonec v Brighton and Hove Albion
FK Jablonec to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.25 to 13.00
- Change
- +79.3%
- Implied probability
- −6.10 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Brighton and Hove Albion v FK Kauno Žalgiris
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 12.00 to 20.00
- Change
- +66.7%
- Implied probability
- −3.33 pts
- Agreement
- 11 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Sint Truiden v FC Iberia 1999
FC Iberia 1999 to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.50 to 12.00
- Change
- +60.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.00 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
FC Twente Enschede v Pafos FC
Pafos FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.00 to 9.50
- Change
- +58.3%
- Implied probability
- −6.14 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
FK Borac Banja Luka v KuPS Kuopio
KuPS Kuopio to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.65 to 5.625
- Change
- +54.1%
- Implied probability
- −9.62 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Red Star Belgrade v Inter Club d'Escaldes
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 8.50 to 12.75
- Change
- +50.0%
- Implied probability
- −3.92 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
AGF Aarhus v SC Braga
AGF Aarhus to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.90 to 4.33
- Change
- +49.3%
- Implied probability
- −11.39 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Panathinaikos FC v PFC CSKA Sofia
PFC CSKA Sofia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.25 to 9.25
- Change
- +48.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.19 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Universitatea Craiova v KF Egnatia
KF Egnatia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.75 to 8.50
- Change
- +47.8%
- Implied probability
- −5.63 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Lincoln Red Imps FC v FC Twente Enschede
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.20 to 7.50
- Change
- +44.2%
- Implied probability
- −5.90 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Pafos FC v Riga FC
Riga FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.45 to 3.75
- Change
- −31.2%
- Implied probability
- +8.32 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Mjällby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes
Inter Club d'Escaldes to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 10.00 to 7.00
- Change
- −30.0%
- Implied probability
- +4.29 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Hajduk Split v Ajax
Hajduk Split to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.55 to 4.00
- Change
- −27.9%
- Implied probability
- +6.98 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Getafe v FC Lugano
FC Lugano to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.45 to 3.35
- Change
- −24.7%
- Implied probability
- +7.38 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
FC Midtjylland v Sint Truiden
Sint Truiden to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.35 to 3.30
- Change
- −24.1%
- Implied probability
- +7.31 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Sint Truiden v SK Brann
Sint Truiden to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.12 to 1.61
- Change
- −24.1%
- Implied probability
- +14.94 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
FK Borac Banja Luka v KuPS Kuopio
FK Borac Banja Luka to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.95 to 1.50
- Change
- −23.1%
- Implied probability
- +15.38 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
FC Iberia 1999 v Mjällby AIF
FC Iberia 1999 to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.50 to 2.70
- Change
- −22.9%
- Implied probability
- +8.47 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
AGF Aarhus v SC Braga
SC Braga to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.20 to 1.70
- Change
- −22.7%
- Implied probability
- +13.37 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Ajax v Atalanta BC
Ajax to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.50 to 1.975
- Change
- −21.0%
- Implied probability
- +10.63 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.