Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
EFL Cup · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Sunderland v Brentford
Sunderland to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.00 to 4.80
- Change
- +60.0%
- Implied probability
- −12.50 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Fulham v Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.05 to 4.50
- Change
- +47.5%
- Implied probability
- −10.56 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bradford City v Peterborough United
Peterborough United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.00 to 4.75
- Change
- +18.8%
- Implied probability
- −3.95 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.605 to 1.86
- Change
- +15.9%
- Implied probability
- −8.54 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Fleetwood Town v Arsenal
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 10.00 to 11.00
- Change
- +10.0%
- Implied probability
- −0.91 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Liverpool v Chelsea
Chelsea to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.45 to 2.62
- Change
- +6.9%
- Implied probability
- −2.65 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bournemouth v Aston Villa
Aston Villa to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.90 to 3.10
- Change
- +6.9%
- Implied probability
- −2.22 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Everton v Newcastle United
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.30 to 3.45
- Change
- +4.5%
- Implied probability
- −1.32 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Sunderland v Brentford
Brentford to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.23 to 1.60
- Change
- −28.3%
- Implied probability
- +17.66 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion
Brighton and Hove Albion to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.80 to 3.60
- Change
- −25.0%
- Implied probability
- +6.94 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Fulham v Crystal Palace
Fulham to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.08 to 1.67
- Change
- −19.7%
- Implied probability
- +11.80 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bradford City v Peterborough United
Bradford City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.79 to 1.61
- Change
- −10.1%
- Implied probability
- +6.25 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bournemouth v Aston Villa
Bournemouth to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.25 to 2.08
- Change
- −7.6%
- Implied probability
- +3.63 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Liverpool v Chelsea
Liverpool to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.50 to 2.40
- Change
- −4.0%
- Implied probability
- +1.67 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Everton v Newcastle United
Everton to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.30 to 2.25
- Change
- −2.2%
- Implied probability
- +0.97 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.