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Football · Past matches · Historical odds

Biggest recorded odds moves

The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.

First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.

Europa League · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to

Biggest recorded odds increases

The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.

  1. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Torreense v Sunderland

    Torreense to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    5.25 to 10.00
    Change
    +90.5%
    Implied probability
    −9.05 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Rennes v OFI Crete

    OFI Crete to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    8.25 to 13.50
    Change
    +63.6%
    Implied probability
    −4.71 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    TSG Hoffenheim v Lyon

    Lyon to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.80 to 4.33
    Change
    +54.6%
    Implied probability
    −12.62 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    OFI Crete v Bayer Leverkusen

    OFI Crete to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    8.50 to 12.50
    Change
    +47.1%
    Implied probability
    −3.76 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    FC Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar

    FC Ararat-Armenia to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    5.20 to 7.50
    Change
    +44.2%
    Implied probability
    −5.90 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Prague

    Sparta Prague to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.50 to 6.45
    Change
    +43.3%
    Implied probability
    −6.72 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Omonoia FC v Benfica

    Omonoia FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    6.00 to 8.50
    Change
    +41.7%
    Implied probability
    −4.90 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Lech Poznań v Bayer Leverkusen

    Lech Poznań to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.45 to 6.00
    Change
    +34.8%
    Implied probability
    −5.81 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus

    Marseille to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.05 to 2.75
    Change
    +34.1%
    Implied probability
    −12.42 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Bournemouth v AC Milan

    AC Milan to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.00 to 4.00
    Change
    +33.3%
    Implied probability
    −8.33 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

Biggest recorded odds decreases

The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.

  1. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva

    Hapoel Be'er Sheva to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    8.50 to 5.90
    Change
    −30.6%
    Implied probability
    +5.18 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    TSG Hoffenheim v Lyon

    TSG Hoffenheim to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.35 to 1.67
    Change
    −28.9%
    Implied probability
    +17.33 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus

    Olympiakos Piraeus to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.125 to 2.45
    Change
    −21.6%
    Implied probability
    +8.82 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    AC Milan v Ferencváros TC

    Ferencváros TC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    8.25 to 6.50
    Change
    −21.2%
    Implied probability
    +3.26 pts
    Agreement
    14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    NK Celje v Omonoia FC

    Omonoia FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.80 to 2.24
    Change
    −20.0%
    Implied probability
    +8.93 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Lech Poznań v Sunderland

    Lech Poznań to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.875 to 3.90
    Change
    −20.0%
    Implied probability
    +5.13 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Sparta Prague v Lillestrom

    Lillestrom to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    8.00 to 6.50
    Change
    −18.8%
    Implied probability
    +2.88 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Bournemouth v AC Milan

    Bournemouth to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.17 to 1.785
    Change
    −17.7%
    Implied probability
    +9.94 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Torreense v Sunderland

    Sunderland to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    1.50 to 1.25
    Change
    −16.7%
    Implied probability
    +13.33 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. Europa League · Scheduled kick-off

    Lyon v Crystal Palace

    Crystal Palace to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.00 to 2.50
    Change
    −16.7%
    Implied probability
    +6.67 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

How recorded moves are measured

What is compared

For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.

Median

For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

What qualifies

  • at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
  • at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
  • the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
  • Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.

Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.