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Football · Past matches · Historical odds

Biggest recorded odds moves

The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.

First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.

League 1 · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to

Biggest recorded odds increases

The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.

  1. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday

    Notts County to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.62 to 3.625
    Change
    +38.4%
    Implied probability
    −10.58 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Wimbledon v Wycombe Wanderers

    Wimbledon to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.90 to 3.95
    Change
    +36.2%
    Implied probability
    −9.17 pts
    Agreement
    17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County FC

    Doncaster Rovers to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.30 to 4.33
    Change
    +31.2%
    Implied probability
    −7.21 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Wigan Athletic v Reading

    Wigan Athletic to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.10 to 3.95
    Change
    +27.4%
    Implied probability
    −6.94 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Huddersfield Town v Wigan Athletic

    Wigan Athletic to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    5.90 to 7.50
    Change
    +27.1%
    Implied probability
    −3.62 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC

    Bromley FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.33 to 5.50
    Change
    +27.0%
    Implied probability
    −4.91 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Milton Keynes Dons v Luton

    Milton Keynes Dons to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.70 to 3.375
    Change
    +25.0%
    Implied probability
    −7.41 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Burton Albion v Bradford City

    Burton Albion to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.50 to 4.375
    Change
    +25.0%
    Implied probability
    −5.71 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster Rovers

    Doncaster Rovers to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.75 to 3.40
    Change
    +23.6%
    Implied probability
    −6.95 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Bromley FC v Peterborough United

    Bromley FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.70 to 3.30
    Change
    +22.2%
    Implied probability
    −6.73 pts
    Agreement
    17 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

Biggest recorded odds decreases

The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.

  1. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday

    Sheffield Wednesday to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.45 to 1.91
    Change
    −22.0%
    Implied probability
    +11.54 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Wimbledon v Wycombe Wanderers

    Wycombe Wanderers to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.20 to 1.81
    Change
    −17.7%
    Implied probability
    +9.79 pts
    Agreement
    17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Barnsley v Cambridge United

    Cambridge United to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.75 to 2.31
    Change
    −16.0%
    Implied probability
    +6.93 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Bromley FC v Peterborough United

    Peterborough United to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.29 to 1.95
    Change
    −14.8%
    Implied probability
    +7.61 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Milton Keynes Dons v Luton

    Luton to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.29 to 1.95
    Change
    −14.8%
    Implied probability
    +7.61 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Burton Albion v Bradford City

    Bradford City to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.05 to 1.75
    Change
    −14.6%
    Implied probability
    +8.36 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County FC

    Stockport County FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    1.95 to 1.67
    Change
    −14.4%
    Implied probability
    +8.60 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Wigan Athletic v Reading

    Reading to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.10 to 1.80
    Change
    −14.3%
    Implied probability
    +7.94 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster Rovers

    Milton Keynes Dons to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.315 to 2.00
    Change
    −13.6%
    Implied probability
    +6.80 pts
    Agreement
    18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. League 1 · Scheduled kick-off

    Sheffield Wednesday v Blackpool

    Blackpool to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.60 to 4.00
    Change
    −13.0%
    Implied probability
    +3.26 pts
    Agreement
    17 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

How recorded moves are measured

What is compared

For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.

Median

For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

What qualifies

  • at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
  • at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
  • the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
  • Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.

Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.