Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
League 2 · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Salford City v Exeter City
Exeter City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.80 to 6.50
- Change
- +35.4%
- Implied probability
- −5.45 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Fleetwood Town v Rotherham United
Rotherham United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.70 to 3.65
- Change
- +35.2%
- Implied probability
- −9.64 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Rochdale v Accrington Stanley
Rochdale to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.30 to 2.88
- Change
- +25.2%
- Implied probability
- −8.76 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Barnet v Swindon Town
Swindon Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.60 to 5.75
- Change
- +25.0%
- Implied probability
- −4.35 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Port Vale v Rochdale
Rochdale to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.50 to 5.50
- Change
- +22.2%
- Implied probability
- −4.04 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Newport County v Chesterfield FC
Newport County to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.50 to 4.20
- Change
- +20.0%
- Implied probability
- −4.76 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cheltenham Town v Fleetwood Town
Cheltenham Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.61 to 3.125
- Change
- +19.7%
- Implied probability
- −6.31 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Tranmere Rovers v Barnet
Barnet to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.95 to 2.30
- Change
- +17.9%
- Implied probability
- −7.80 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bristol Rovers v Salford City
Bristol Rovers to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.30 to 2.70
- Change
- +17.4%
- Implied probability
- −6.44 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Salford City v Crawley Town
Crawley Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.00 to 7.00
- Change
- +16.7%
- Implied probability
- −2.38 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Rochdale v Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.88 to 2.30
- Change
- −20.1%
- Implied probability
- +8.76 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Fleetwood Town v Rotherham United
Fleetwood Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.39 to 1.915
- Change
- −19.9%
- Implied probability
- +10.38 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Tranmere Rovers v Barnet
Tranmere Rovers to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.30 to 2.88
- Change
- −12.7%
- Implied probability
- +4.42 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Newport County v York City
Newport County to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.60 to 3.15
- Change
- −12.5%
- Implied probability
- +3.97 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Salford City v Exeter City
Salford City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.62 to 1.43
- Change
- −11.7%
- Implied probability
- +8.20 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Rotherham United v Newport County
Newport County to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.625 to 3.20
- Change
- −11.7%
- Implied probability
- +3.66 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cheltenham Town v Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.40 to 2.15
- Change
- −10.4%
- Implied probability
- +4.84 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Barnet v Swindon Town
Barnet to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.60 to 1.44
- Change
- −10.0%
- Implied probability
- +6.94 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Northampton Town v Oldham Athletic
Northampton Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.65 to 2.39
- Change
- −9.8%
- Implied probability
- +4.11 pts
- Agreement
- 11 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Walsall v Oldham Athletic
Oldham Athletic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.88 to 2.60
- Change
- −9.7%
- Implied probability
- +3.74 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.