Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
UEFA Nations League · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 13.00 to 20.00
- Change
- +53.8%
- Implied probability
- −2.69 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Armenia v Cyprus
Armenia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.20 to 3.10
- Change
- +40.9%
- Implied probability
- −13.20 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Luxembourg v Estonia
Luxembourg to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.85 to 2.43
- Change
- +31.4%
- Implied probability
- −12.90 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bulgaria v Iceland
Bulgaria to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.65 to 4.60
- Change
- +26.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.66 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Montenegro v Latvia
Latvia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 8.50 to 10.50
- Change
- +23.5%
- Implied probability
- −2.24 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Scotland v North Macedonia
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.50 to 6.50
- Change
- +18.2%
- Implied probability
- −2.80 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Andorra v Gibraltar
Gibraltar to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.50 to 6.50
- Change
- +18.2%
- Implied probability
- −2.80 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
San Marino v Belarus
San Marino to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 23.00 to 26.00
- Change
- +13.0%
- Implied probability
- −0.50 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Slovenia v Switzerland
Switzerland to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.62 to 1.83
- Change
- +13.0%
- Implied probability
- −7.08 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Serbia v Germany
Serbia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 9.00 to 10.00
- Change
- +11.1%
- Implied probability
- −1.11 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Czech Republic v Spain
Czech Republic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 17.00 to 12.00
- Change
- −29.4%
- Implied probability
- +2.45 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Luxembourg v Estonia
Estonia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.20 to 3.00
- Change
- −28.6%
- Implied probability
- +9.52 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Armenia v Cyprus
Cyprus to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.10 to 2.30
- Change
- −25.8%
- Implied probability
- +11.22 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Slovenia v Switzerland
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.60 to 3.10
- Change
- −13.9%
- Implied probability
- +4.48 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bulgaria v Iceland
Iceland to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.95 to 1.70
- Change
- −12.8%
- Implied probability
- +7.54 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Turkey v Belgium
Turkey to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.00 to 3.50
- Change
- −12.5%
- Implied probability
- +3.57 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Slovakia v Faroe Islands
Faroe Islands to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 9.00 to 8.00
- Change
- −11.1%
- Implied probability
- +1.39 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Netherlands v Greece
Greece to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.45 to 5.75
- Change
- −10.9%
- Implied probability
- +1.89 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
England v Croatia
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.50 to 5.80
- Change
- −10.8%
- Implied probability
- +1.86 pts
- Agreement
- 8 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Andorra v Gibraltar
Andorra to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.76 to 1.62
- Change
- −8.0%
- Implied probability
- +4.91 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.