Market Movers — Last 24 Hours
Upcoming UK football matches with the largest consensus price changes over about the last 24 hours, measured by the market median of UK sportsbook prices.
Last calculated UK time
Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Each match compares its latest odds snapshot with the prices recorded nearest to 24 hours before it (within 30 minutes either side).
Past matches: the biggest recorded odds moves.
Shortening odds
The market median price fell: the outcome is now priced as more likely.
-
France v Turkey
Draw
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 7.50 to 6.50
- Change
- −13.33%
- Implied probability
- +2.05 pts
- Agreement
- 9 of 9 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
Spain v England
England win
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 4.40 to 4.25
- Change
- −3.41%
- Implied probability
- +0.80 pts
- Agreement
- 8 of 11 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 4.47 to 4.33
- Change
- −3.24%
- Implied probability
- +0.75 pts
- Agreement
- 5 of 10 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
Lengthening odds
The market median price rose: the outcome is now priced as less likely.
-
France v Turkey
France win
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 1.18 to 1.22
- Change
- +3.39%
- Implied probability
- −2.78 pts
- Agreement
- 9 of 9 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
Croatia v Czech Republic
Croatia win
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 1.46 to 1.49
- Change
- +2.23%
- Implied probability
- −1.50 pts
- Agreement
- 6 of 10 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
Belgium v Italy
Draw
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 3.55 to 3.70
- Change
- +4.23%
- Implied probability
- −1.14 pts
- Agreement
- 8 of 9 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
Romania v Poland
Poland win
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 1.81 to 1.85
- Change
- +2.07%
- Implied probability
- −1.12 pts
- Agreement
- 8 of 10 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
Spain v England
Spain win
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 1.67 to 1.70
- Change
- +1.80%
- Implied probability
- −1.06 pts
- Agreement
- 9 of 11 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
Northern Ireland v Ukraine
Northern Ireland win
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 2.39 to 2.45
- Change
- +2.51%
- Implied probability
- −1.02 pts
- Agreement
- 5 of 10 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 3.85 to 4.00
- Change
- +3.90%
- Implied probability
- −0.97 pts
- Agreement
- 4 of 7 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
-
- Market median, 24h ago to now
- 4.20 to 4.33
- Change
- +3.10%
- Implied probability
- −0.71 pts
- Agreement
- 7 of 10 source groups moved in this direction
24h ago: recorded · Current: odds snapshot
How Market Movers works
What is compared
For each upcoming match, current prices are compared with prices recorded about 24 hours earlier. Current prices come from the latest odds snapshot for the match’s competition. The earlier prices come from the price capture nearest to exactly 24 hours before that snapshot, within 30 minutes either side. If no capture falls in that window, or the recorded history doesn’t yet reach past it, the match isn’t assessed.
Source groups
Some bookmakers often show identical prices, which suggests a shared pricing source. So that one source isn’t counted twice, bookmakers whose prices have largely matched are treated as one group. These groupings are based on the prices observed, not on confirmed business relationships.
- Betano and BetVictor
- Betfair Sportsbook and Paddy Power
- Coral and Ladbrokes
- LiveScore Bet and Virgin Bet
- 888sport and William Hill
Each other bookmaker is a group of its own: Betfred, Betway, BoyleSports, Casumo, Grosvenor, LeoVegas, Sky Bet, Unibet. Exchanges are not included.
Market median
For each outcome, a group’s price is the median of its bookmakers that priced the outcome both 24 hours ago and now. The market median is the median of the group prices (with an even number of groups, the average of the middle two). Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
Not every movement is listed. A movement appears only when:
- at least 6 source groups priced the outcome at both times;
- at least 3 source groups, and at least half of them, moved in the same direction as the market median;
- the implied probability changed by at least 0.5 percentage points.
Implied probability is 100 divided by the decimal price. It is shown without any adjustment for bookmakers’ margins. Movements are ranked by the size of that change.
What this page is not
Market Movers reports how prices have changed. It is not a list of the best available odds, and it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.