Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
All competitions · Last 7 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 13.00 to 20.00
- Change
- +53.8%
- Implied probability
- −2.69 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Plymouth Parkway FC v Berkhamsted FC
Berkhamsted FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.00 to 4.60
- Change
- +53.3%
- Implied probability
- −11.59 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Plymouth Argyle v Alvechurch FC
Alvechurch FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 8.50 to 12.00
- Change
- +41.2%
- Implied probability
- −3.43 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Armenia v Cyprus
Armenia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.20 to 3.10
- Change
- +40.9%
- Implied probability
- −13.20 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Arsenal v Hull City
Hull City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 14.00 to 19.50
- Change
- +39.3%
- Implied probability
- −2.01 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bromley FC v Rotherham United
Rotherham United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.66 to 3.675
- Change
- +38.2%
- Implied probability
- −10.38 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bradford City v Marine FC
Marine FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 9.25 to 12.75
- Change
- +37.8%
- Implied probability
- −2.97 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Boreham Wood FC v Wigan Athletic
Wigan Athletic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.79 to 3.80
- Change
- +36.2%
- Implied probability
- −9.53 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Paris Saint Germain v Bayern Munich
Paris Saint Germain to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.60 to 4.90
- Change
- +36.1%
- Implied probability
- −7.37 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Barcelona v Arsenal
Arsenal to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.00 to 9.50
- Change
- +35.7%
- Implied probability
- −3.76 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Czech Republic v Spain
Czech Republic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 17.00 to 12.00
- Change
- −29.4%
- Implied probability
- +2.45 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Luxembourg v Estonia
Estonia to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.20 to 3.00
- Change
- −28.6%
- Implied probability
- +9.52 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Guiseley AFC v Sutton United FC
Guiseley AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.00 to 2.90
- Change
- −27.5%
- Implied probability
- +9.48 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Gillingham v Barrow AFC
Barrow AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.50 to 3.30
- Change
- −26.7%
- Implied probability
- +8.08 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Armenia v Cyprus
Cyprus to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.10 to 2.30
- Change
- −25.8%
- Implied probability
- +11.22 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Plymouth Parkway FC v Berkhamsted FC
Plymouth Parkway FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.05 to 1.55
- Change
- −24.4%
- Implied probability
- +15.74 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cheltenham Town v FC Halifax Town
FC Halifax Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.80 to 2.95
- Change
- −22.4%
- Implied probability
- +7.58 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Oxford United v Stevenage
Stevenage to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.30 to 2.60
- Change
- −21.2%
- Implied probability
- +8.16 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Wimborne Town FC v Crawley Town
Wimborne Town FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.00 to 4.80
- Change
- −20.0%
- Implied probability
- +4.17 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 11 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Paris Saint Germain v Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.74 to 1.425
- Change
- −18.1%
- Implied probability
- +12.70 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.