Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
Championship · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Wrexham AFC v Middlesbrough
Wrexham AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.025 to 4.275
- Change
- +41.3%
- Implied probability
- −9.67 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United
Charlton Athletic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.00 to 4.00
- Change
- +33.3%
- Implied probability
- −8.33 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 9.25 to 12.00
- Change
- +29.7%
- Implied probability
- −2.48 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Preston North End v Sheffield United
Preston North End to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.80 to 3.60
- Change
- +28.6%
- Implied probability
- −7.94 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Millwall v Lincoln City
Lincoln City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.725 to 4.70
- Change
- +26.2%
- Implied probability
- −5.57 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Queens Park Rangers v Lincoln City
Lincoln City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.00 to 5.00
- Change
- +25.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.00 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Wrexham AFC v Preston North End
Preston North End to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.40 to 5.50
- Change
- +25.0%
- Implied probability
- −4.55 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough
Bolton Wanderers to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.275 to 5.30
- Change
- +24.0%
- Implied probability
- −4.52 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cardiff City v Burnley
Burnley to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.775 to 3.40
- Change
- +22.5%
- Implied probability
- −6.62 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Queens Park Rangers v Burnley
Burnley to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.95 to 3.60
- Change
- +22.0%
- Implied probability
- −6.12 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Southampton v Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.33 to 3.30
- Change
- −23.8%
- Implied probability
- +7.21 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
West Ham United v West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.05 to 4.10
- Change
- −18.8%
- Implied probability
- +4.59 pts
- Agreement
- 18 of 18 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Wrexham AFC v Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.12 to 1.75
- Change
- −17.5%
- Implied probability
- +9.97 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United
Sheffield United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.20 to 1.85
- Change
- −15.9%
- Implied probability
- +8.60 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Preston North End v Sheffield United
Sheffield United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.28 to 1.965
- Change
- −13.8%
- Implied probability
- +7.03 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cardiff City v Burnley
Cardiff City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.20 to 1.90
- Change
- −13.6%
- Implied probability
- +7.18 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Watford v Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.45 to 3.00
- Change
- −13.0%
- Implied probability
- +4.35 pts
- Agreement
- 17 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Derby County v Stoke City
Stoke City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.70 to 2.38
- Change
- −11.9%
- Implied probability
- +4.98 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 17 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Queens Park Rangers v Burnley
Queens Park Rangers to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.165 to 1.91
- Change
- −11.8%
- Implied probability
- +6.17 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City
Stoke City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.825 to 2.50
- Change
- −11.5%
- Implied probability
- +4.60 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.