Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
Championship · Last 7 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United
Charlton Athletic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.00 to 4.00
- Change
- +33.3%
- Implied probability
- −8.33 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Queens Park Rangers v Lincoln City
Lincoln City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.00 to 5.00
- Change
- +25.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.00 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cardiff City v Burnley
Burnley to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.775 to 3.40
- Change
- +22.5%
- Implied probability
- −6.62 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Wrexham AFC v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wrexham AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.90 to 3.50
- Change
- +20.7%
- Implied probability
- −5.91 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Watford v Middlesbrough
Watford to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.00 to 5.75
- Change
- +15.0%
- Implied probability
- −2.61 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
West Bromwich Albion v Millwall
Millwall to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.30 to 3.725
- Change
- +12.9%
- Implied probability
- −3.46 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Birmingham City v Swansea City
Swansea City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.45 to 3.875
- Change
- +12.3%
- Implied probability
- −3.18 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bristol City v Norwich City
Bristol City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.45 to 2.725
- Change
- +11.2%
- Implied probability
- −4.12 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Portsmouth v Stoke City
Stoke City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.88 to 3.125
- Change
- +8.5%
- Implied probability
- −2.72 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Preston North End v Southampton
Preston North End to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.875 to 5.05
- Change
- +3.6%
- Implied probability
- −0.71 pts
- Agreement
- 11 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United
Sheffield United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.20 to 1.85
- Change
- −15.9%
- Implied probability
- +8.60 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cardiff City v Burnley
Cardiff City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.20 to 1.90
- Change
- −13.6%
- Implied probability
- +7.18 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Queens Park Rangers v Lincoln City
Queens Park Rangers to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.79 to 1.625
- Change
- −9.2%
- Implied probability
- +5.67 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Wrexham AFC v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.25 to 2.05
- Change
- −8.9%
- Implied probability
- +4.34 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Birmingham City v Swansea City
Birmingham City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.00 to 1.875
- Change
- −6.3%
- Implied probability
- +3.33 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bristol City v Norwich City
Norwich City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.60 to 2.45
- Change
- −5.8%
- Implied probability
- +2.35 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
West Bromwich Albion v Millwall
West Bromwich Albion to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.02 to 1.91
- Change
- −5.4%
- Implied probability
- +2.85 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Portsmouth v Stoke City
The draw · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.275 to 3.10
- Change
- −5.3%
- Implied probability
- +1.72 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Watford v Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.55 to 1.48
- Change
- −4.5%
- Implied probability
- +3.05 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.