Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
FA Cup · Last 30 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Aldershot Town FC v Tadley Calleva FC
Tadley Calleva FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 7.00 to 14.00
- Change
- +100.0%
- Implied probability
- −7.14 pts
- Agreement
- 11 of 11 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Plymouth Parkway FC v Berkhamsted FC
Berkhamsted FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.00 to 4.60
- Change
- +53.3%
- Implied probability
- −11.59 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
AFC Rushden and Diamonds v Morecambe
AFC Rushden and Diamonds to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.20 to 6.00
- Change
- +42.9%
- Implied probability
- −7.14 pts
- Agreement
- 9 of 11 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Plymouth Argyle v Alvechurch FC
Alvechurch FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 8.50 to 12.00
- Change
- +41.2%
- Implied probability
- −3.43 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bromley FC v Rotherham United
Rotherham United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.66 to 3.675
- Change
- +38.2%
- Implied probability
- −10.38 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Bradford City v Marine FC
Marine FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 9.25 to 12.75
- Change
- +37.8%
- Implied probability
- −2.97 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Boreham Wood FC v Wigan Athletic
Wigan Athletic to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.79 to 3.80
- Change
- +36.2%
- Implied probability
- −9.53 pts
- Agreement
- 14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Guiseley AFC v Sutton United FC
Sutton United FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.67 to 2.15
- Change
- +28.7%
- Implied probability
- −13.37 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cheltenham Town v FC Halifax Town
Cheltenham Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.67 to 2.10
- Change
- +25.7%
- Implied probability
- −12.26 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Oxford United v Stevenage
Oxford United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.00 to 2.50
- Change
- +25.0%
- Implied probability
- −10.00 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Guiseley AFC v Sutton United FC
Guiseley AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.00 to 2.90
- Change
- −27.5%
- Implied probability
- +9.48 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Gateshead FC v Stafford Rangers FC
Stafford Rangers FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 5.00 to 3.65
- Change
- −27.0%
- Implied probability
- +7.40 pts
- Agreement
- 9 of 9 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Gillingham v Barrow AFC
Barrow AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.50 to 3.30
- Change
- −26.7%
- Implied probability
- +8.08 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Plymouth Parkway FC v Berkhamsted FC
Plymouth Parkway FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.05 to 1.55
- Change
- −24.4%
- Implied probability
- +15.74 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Cheltenham Town v FC Halifax Town
FC Halifax Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.80 to 2.95
- Change
- −22.4%
- Implied probability
- +7.58 pts
- Agreement
- 13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Oxford United v Stevenage
Stevenage to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.30 to 2.60
- Change
- −21.2%
- Implied probability
- +8.16 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
AFC Fylde v Atherton Collieries AFC
Atherton Collieries AFC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 12.00 to 9.50
- Change
- −20.8%
- Implied probability
- +2.19 pts
- Agreement
- 9 of 9 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Torquay United FC v Oxford City FC
Oxford City FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.01 to 2.40
- Change
- −20.3%
- Implied probability
- +8.44 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 12 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
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Wimborne Town FC v Crawley Town
Wimborne Town FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 6.00 to 4.80
- Change
- −20.0%
- Implied probability
- +4.17 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 11 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Eastleigh FC v Brentwood Town FC
Brentwood Town FC to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 8.00 to 6.50
- Change
- −18.8%
- Implied probability
- +2.88 pts
- Agreement
- 5 of 9 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.