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Football · Past matches · Historical odds

Biggest recorded odds moves

The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.

First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.

FA Cup · Last 7 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to

Biggest recorded odds increases

The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.

  1. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Plymouth Parkway FC v Berkhamsted FC

    Berkhamsted FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.00 to 4.60
    Change
    +53.3%
    Implied probability
    −11.59 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Plymouth Argyle v Alvechurch FC

    Alvechurch FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    8.50 to 12.00
    Change
    +41.2%
    Implied probability
    −3.43 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Bromley FC v Rotherham United

    Rotherham United to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.66 to 3.675
    Change
    +38.2%
    Implied probability
    −10.38 pts
    Agreement
    14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Bradford City v Marine FC

    Marine FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    9.25 to 12.75
    Change
    +37.8%
    Implied probability
    −2.97 pts
    Agreement
    14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Boreham Wood FC v Wigan Athletic

    Wigan Athletic to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.79 to 3.80
    Change
    +36.2%
    Implied probability
    −9.53 pts
    Agreement
    14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Guiseley AFC v Sutton United FC

    Sutton United FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    1.67 to 2.15
    Change
    +28.7%
    Implied probability
    −13.37 pts
    Agreement
    13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Cheltenham Town v FC Halifax Town

    Cheltenham Town to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    1.67 to 2.10
    Change
    +25.7%
    Implied probability
    −12.26 pts
    Agreement
    13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Oxford United v Stevenage

    Oxford United to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.00 to 2.50
    Change
    +25.0%
    Implied probability
    −10.00 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Burton Albion v AFC Rushden and Diamonds

    The draw · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    8.00 to 10.00
    Change
    +25.0%
    Implied probability
    −2.50 pts
    Agreement
    13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Gillingham v Barrow AFC

    Gillingham to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    1.62 to 1.97
    Change
    +21.6%
    Implied probability
    −10.97 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

Biggest recorded odds decreases

The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.

  1. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Guiseley AFC v Sutton United FC

    Guiseley AFC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.00 to 2.90
    Change
    −27.5%
    Implied probability
    +9.48 pts
    Agreement
    13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  2. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Gillingham v Barrow AFC

    Barrow AFC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    4.50 to 3.30
    Change
    −26.7%
    Implied probability
    +8.08 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  3. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Plymouth Parkway FC v Berkhamsted FC

    Plymouth Parkway FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.05 to 1.55
    Change
    −24.4%
    Implied probability
    +15.74 pts
    Agreement
    16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  4. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Cheltenham Town v FC Halifax Town

    FC Halifax Town to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.80 to 2.95
    Change
    −22.4%
    Implied probability
    +7.58 pts
    Agreement
    13 of 13 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  5. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Oxford United v Stevenage

    Stevenage to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.30 to 2.60
    Change
    −21.2%
    Implied probability
    +8.16 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  6. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Wimborne Town FC v Crawley Town

    Wimborne Town FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    6.00 to 4.80
    Change
    −20.0%
    Implied probability
    +4.17 pts
    Agreement
    10 of 11 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  7. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Accrington Stanley v Wycombe Wanderers

    Accrington Stanley to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    3.50 to 2.87
    Change
    −18.0%
    Implied probability
    +6.27 pts
    Agreement
    14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  8. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Boreham Wood FC v Wigan Athletic

    Boreham Wood FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.10 to 1.75
    Change
    −16.7%
    Implied probability
    +9.52 pts
    Agreement
    14 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  9. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Carlisle United v Salford City

    Carlisle United to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    2.90 to 2.45
    Change
    −15.5%
    Implied probability
    +6.33 pts
    Agreement
    15 of 15 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

  10. FA Cup · Scheduled kick-off

    Cray Wanderers FC v Stockport County FC

    Cray Wanderers FC to win · Match result

    Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
    13.00 to 11.00
    Change
    −15.4%
    Implied probability
    +1.40 pts
    Agreement
    13 of 14 UK sportsbooks moved this way

    First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match

How recorded moves are measured

What is compared

For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.

Median

For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.

What qualifies

  • at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
  • at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
  • the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
  • Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.

Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.