Biggest recorded odds moves
The past UK football matches whose consensus price moved most between the first prices Edgeform recorded and the last prices it recorded before kick-off. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores.
First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
Upcoming matches: see Market Movers. Every past match: the match archive.
Premier League · Last 7 days · matches with a scheduled kick-off from to
Biggest recorded odds increases
The median price rose between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as less likely.
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Arsenal v Hull City
Hull City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 14.00 to 19.50
- Change
- +39.3%
- Implied probability
- −2.01 pts
- Agreement
- 15 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Fulham v Newcastle United
Newcastle United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.80 to 3.50
- Change
- +25.0%
- Implied probability
- −7.14 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Crystal Palace to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.45 to 5.50
- Change
- +23.6%
- Implied probability
- −4.29 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Sunderland v Chelsea
Chelsea to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.925 to 2.25
- Change
- +16.9%
- Implied probability
- −7.50 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur
Leeds United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.37 to 2.75
- Change
- +16.0%
- Implied probability
- −5.83 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Ipswich Town v Bournemouth
Ipswich Town to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.125 to 3.525
- Change
- +12.8%
- Implied probability
- −3.63 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Manchester United v Aston Villa
Aston Villa to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.00 to 3.30
- Change
- +10.0%
- Implied probability
- −3.03 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Brighton and Hove Albion v Brentford
Brentford to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.65 to 4.00
- Change
- +9.6%
- Implied probability
- −2.40 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City
Nottingham Forest to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 4.675 to 4.90
- Change
- +4.8%
- Implied probability
- −0.98 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
Biggest recorded odds decreases
The median price fell between the first and the last recorded pre-match prices: the selection was priced as more likely.
-
Sunderland v Chelsea
Sunderland to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 3.65 to 3.00
- Change
- −17.8%
- Implied probability
- +5.94 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Fulham v Newcastle United
Fulham to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.30 to 1.955
- Change
- −15.0%
- Implied probability
- +7.67 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.89 to 2.50
- Change
- −13.5%
- Implied probability
- +5.40 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Crystal Palace v Liverpool
Liverpool to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.67 to 1.505
- Change
- −9.9%
- Implied probability
- +6.56 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Ipswich Town v Bournemouth
Bournemouth to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.125 to 1.975
- Change
- −7.1%
- Implied probability
- +3.57 pts
- Agreement
- 10 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Manchester United v Aston Villa
Manchester United to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 2.15 to 2.00
- Change
- −7.0%
- Implied probability
- +3.49 pts
- Agreement
- 16 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Brighton and Hove Albion v Brentford
Brighton and Hove Albion to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.875 to 1.81
- Change
- −3.5%
- Implied probability
- +1.92 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Arsenal v Hull City
Arsenal to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.17 to 1.14
- Change
- −2.6%
- Implied probability
- +2.25 pts
- Agreement
- 12 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
-
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City
Manchester City to win · Match result
- Median first recorded to last recorded pre-match
- 1.635 to 1.62
- Change
- −0.9%
- Implied probability
- +0.57 pts
- Agreement
- 9 of 16 UK sportsbooks moved this way
First recorded from · Last recorded pre-match
How recorded moves are measured
What is compared
For each past match, Edgeform compares the prices it recorded from UK sportsbooks before kick-off: each bookmaker’s first recorded price and its last recorded pre-match price. First recorded and last recorded pre-match prices are the prices Edgeform recorded. They are not official opening or closing odds. Bookmakers’ first records can be at different times; the earliest is shown. The last recorded pre-match prices are those in the last Edgeform update that listed the match before kick-off.
Median
For each selection, the move is the median of the bookmakers’ first recorded prices against the median of their last recorded pre-match prices. Only bookmakers with a price at both ends count. Market median is a statistical reference based on available sportsbook prices. It is not necessarily an odds offer available to place a bet.
What qualifies
- at least 6 UK sportsbooks priced the selection at both ends;
- at least 3 of them, and at least half, moved the same way as the median;
- the implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) changed by at least 0.5 percentage points;
- Edgeform’s updates listed the match until less than two hours before its scheduled kick-off.
Matches are listed once their scheduled kick-off was more than three hours ago, by the period that kick-off falls in. Exchanges are not included. Edgeform doesn’t record results or scores. This page reports how recorded prices changed; it doesn’t recommend bets or predict results.